The industry believes that the time to eliminate incandescent lamps will not exceed 10 years, which means that the replacement of incandescent lamps, energy-saving lamps, tungsten halogen lamps and LED lamps, will occupy the market gap after the incandescent lamp exits.
But before the LED market enters a mature period, too high a price will become a bottleneck for its development. Therefore, various low-cost technical solutions will be the issues that enterprises in the industry need to pay attention to in the future. In addition, the life of LED products can be as long as 20,000 hours, but subject to the life of each component, and the maintenance cost of LED lamps is too high. Affected by these various factors, the driving power of LED lamps must have high reliability. Since the LED lamp is an energy-saving product, the driving power efficiency of the LED lamp must be high, but the driving power supply efficiency is high, and the industrial cost is also indirectly increased.
In fact, although the LED driver power supply has made a breakthrough in technology, the cost has been maintained at around 200 yuan. If the sales price is less than 400 yuan, it is basically a loss state, while foreign manufacturers such as Philips have the lowest sales price but can achieve 180 yuan. about. The future popularity of LED lamps depends on the speed at which their prices fall, and the 40 cost of LED lamps is spent on driving control circuits, so the cost reduction of control circuits including LED driver ICs is crucial. Correspondingly, the cost of the drive control circuit is expected to decrease between 2013 and 2015.
At present, China's LED lighting market presents a good development trend. The National Development and Reform Commission has now announced the "Semiconductor Lighting Energy Conservation Industry Plan". It is expected that in 2015, all incandescent lamps for general lighting above 60W will be eliminated, and the market share of LED new light source lighting products will reach 20 or more.
Although national policies and market application prospects are alleging that LED lights are the mainstream of the future lighting market, factors such as high price and insufficient brightness hinder the development of the LED home lighting market, and it takes about 8-10 years to reach the market penetration rate of 50. The high price has also kept most ordinary consumers in a wait-and-see state, making it difficult for LED lighting to enter the door of ordinary people's homes. Experts predict that LED home lighting will not enter market maturity until 2016.
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