According to the published Twelfth Five-Year Plan, the orientation of China's chemical fertilizer industry policy has changed from "promoting development" to "re-regulating" over the years, that is, gradually changing the development mode of the fertilizer industry. The focus is on accelerating the adjustment of the industrial organization structure and promoting the development of circular economy through technological upgrading. In addition, the development of agrochemical service industry, the cultivation of brands and marketing networks, and the improvement of chemical fertilizer utilization efficiency are also important areas for policy control.
According to the historical data and planning objectives announced by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the average annual growth rate of fertilizer production in 2010-2015 is expected to be around 1% (in 2010, the output is 66.2 million tons), of which the average annual growth rate of nitrogen, phosphorus and potash fertilizer production is It is 0.43%, 2.26% and 3.18%. The above growth rate is the lowest level in the planning goals of the past 20 years, and the planned growth rate of phosphorus and potash fertilizers is significantly higher than that of nitrogen fertilizers. Fertilizer production in 2011 is basically in line with the above planning requirements. Although the actual production of chemical fertilizers in 2010 was slightly lower than the official figure (63.23 million tons) due to factors such as biased proportional error and duplicate statistics, even at this level, the average annual growth rate of chemical fertilizer production in 2010-2015 was only 2.25. The average annual growth rate of nitrogen, phosphorus, and potassium fertilizer production is 1.68%, 3.15%, and 4.60%, respectively, which will remain the lowest growth rate in the past 20 years. This fully demonstrates that under the influence of excess supply and demand and resource constraints, the space for the continued expansion of fertilizer production has been quite limited; the same holds true for potash fertilizers that have the greatest potential for growth.
At the same time, the plan requires that the proportion of large-scale nitrogen fertilizer enterprises increase from less than 70% in 2010 to over 80%, and the proportion of large-scale phosphate fertilizer enterprises will increase from 60% to over 70%. The proportion of urea in nitrogen fertilizer increased by about 70% from 61.8%, and the proportion of ammonium phosphate in phosphate fertilizer increased from 62% to about 70%. In line with this, the average growth rate of urea and ammonium phosphate fertilizer production in 2010-2015 will be 4.90% and 8.33% respectively, which is much higher than the corresponding growth rate of nitrogen fertilizer and phosphate fertilizer.
To promote the development of circular economy, the government will actively promote advanced coal gasification and coal-based polygeneration technologies. The advanced coal gasification technology will increase the proportion of nitrogen fertilizer production capacity to 30%, and will produce 450,000 tons of synthetic ammonia and 800,000 tons of urea plant (or more). ) To achieve autonomy. Continuously improve the utilization efficiency and level of low-grade phosphate rock and phosphogypsum. In respect of energy saving and emission reduction, the comprehensive energy consumption of synthetic ammonia should be reduced to 1350 kg standard coal/ton in 2015, in which the comprehensive energy consumption of synthetic ammonia units using natural gas and coke oven gas, anthracite lump coal and non-anthracite coal as raw materials respectively Below 1150, 1300 and 1650 kg standard coal/ton; overall utilization of phosphogypsum increased to 40%.
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